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UK Premium Property Market Update May 2026

After months dominated by oil price volatility and Middle East tensions, May brought a notable shift. Inflation has eased to 2.8%, the energy shock that pushed fixed mortgage rates above 5% appears to be fading, and the ceasefire is holding. For most of the property market, that is cause for cautious optimism.
For the premium end, above £750,000, there is a new dynamic to contend with: politics has replaced interest rates as the primary force shaping sentiment and values at the top of the market.

What the May figures tell us


Premium stock reached a record 99,291 properties for sale in May, up 5.8% on April and 28% above the five-year average. Despite that, sales rebounded strongly: 8,590 agreed sales made May the best month since July 2025, a 13.2% jump on April. The message is clear: price correctly, and buyers are still there.

Price reductions tell the other side of the story. A total of 9,653 premium homes were marked down in May, more than the number sold. For every eight properties that found a buyer, roughly nine had to reduce their asking price to compete. This is not a market in freefall; it is a well-stocked market clearing at honest prices. On a more encouraging note, fall-throughs dropped 14.4% year-on-year, meaning the deals that do get agreed are increasingly sticking.

Why politics now matters more than rates


A significant proportion of buyers above £1m, and almost all above £2m, transact in cash or at low loan-to-value. That insulates them from rate movements but makes them acutely sensitive to anything touching wealth: capital gains tax alignment, stamp duty reform, the proposed High Value Council Tax Surcharge on properties worth over £2m from 2028, and the broader direction of fiscal policy. The political picture has grown markedly less stable, and Savills has revised its prime forecast accordingly, now expecting prime central London values to fall around 3% across 2026, with any recovery pushed out to 2028.

If you are selling above £750,000


Asking price strategy has never mattered more. Across the first five months of 2026, there have been 33,601 price reductions against 34,858 sales, close to one mark-down for every completed sale. Buyers can see full price histories and treat reductions as a negotiating signal. Homes priced correctly from day one are selling; those pitched at last year's levels are sitting and drifting lower. With prime values forecast to ease further over the remainder of the year, waiting is not a neutral decision: it means pricing into a falling benchmark.

If you are buying above £750,000


For cash buyers or those borrowing modestly, conditions are as favourable as they have been in years. Choice is at a record high, sellers are more willing to negotiate than at any point since 2022, and completed chains are proving more resilient. The case for acting while supply is this abundant remains compelling: the current breadth of choice will not last, and a return of confidence will tighten it quickly.

The outlook


The premium market is adjusting, not collapsing. A smaller, more discerning pool of buyers is completing at sensible prices, chains are holding, and well-priced stock is moving. Regional prime markets in the Midlands, North, Scotland and Wales are expected to hold up better than London, where policy pressure is most acute. The buyers and sellers who read this moment clearly and act accordingly are best placed to navigate what remains a market of genuine opportunity.